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Wagstaff’s Picks – Weekend of November 16-18, 2017 November 15, 2017

Posted by Jim Berkin in Football.
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Welcome to the SPECIAL MATH EDITION of my picks. After crunching numbers different ways, some adjustments to the picking strategy have been made, and results were a bit better.

In my usual way of picking, I went a dismal 2-5-1 last week, bringing the season totals to 48-52-3.

In the number crunching math world last week with picks  I won’t post here but TRUST ME!!!!! I went 12-11-1 in picks against spreads, but 20-11 in over/unders.

So, the new method is where we’ll go this week. So there.

College Games:

S Florida by 22 over Tulsa

W Kentucky +3 against Mid Tn St

Virginia Tech by 15 over Pittsburgh

Wake Forest by 2 over NC State

Northwestern by 7.5 over Minnesota

Old Dominion by 8 over Rice

Memphis by 13 over SMU

Iowa St by 9 over Baylor (if I could only pick one game this week, this would be it)

Penn St by 26 over Nebraska

Arkansas St by 26 over Texas St

Some over/unders:

Oklahoma/Kansas OVER 70.5

Air Force/Boise State OVER 57

Arizona St/Oregon State OVER 59

Oklahoma St/Kansas St OVER 65

Basically, I put together a method of varying calculations to project likely scores and went from there. If my projections were in sync with the point spreads and over/under totals, I’d pass. If something was askew or could be gambled on based on recent team trends (and THAT’S the true iffiness factor), I’d go for it. It’s worked pretty well so far with NBA picks too, by the way, even though I won’t be posting those here.

Some great games this weekend as we come down to the end of the season and all those teams knocking at the top-4-playoff door are essentially playing early playoff games. And if you noticed, I’m staying away from most of ’em.

I get the entire week of Thanksgiving off, too. Looking forward to it… even if it contains my birthday.

It’s not easy turning 157, y’know. Everything hurts.

 

 

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